Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.001142 1.293592e-03 0.001446 0.001611 0.001783 0.001956 0.002145
2025-08-10 0.000857 1.068662e-03 0.001290 0.001536 0.001800 0.002073 0.002375
2025-08-17 0.000664 9.178793e-04 0.001193 0.001508 0.001853 0.002217 0.002625
2025-08-24 0.000472 7.469410e-04 0.001058 0.001425 0.001837 0.002278 0.002781
2025-08-31 0.000356 6.475841e-04 0.000993 0.001411 0.001889 0.002409 0.003008
2025-09-07 0.000277 5.828271e-04 0.000960 0.001429 0.001973 0.002572 0.003266
2025-09-14 0.000189 4.916326e-04 0.000887 0.001393 0.001992 0.002657 0.003436
2025-09-21 0.000142 4.483177e-04 0.000869 0.001419 0.002077 0.002816 0.003685
2025-09-28 0.000115 4.317279e-04 0.000882 0.001481 0.002204 0.003019 0.003983
2025-10-05 0.000075 3.826745e-04 0.000848 0.001481 0.002256 0.003135 0.004181
2025-10-12 0.000050 3.519528e-04 0.000836 0.001506 0.002335 0.003282 0.004411
2025-10-19 0.000031 3.252911e-04 0.000826 0.001533 0.002415 0.003427 0.004639
2025-10-26 0.000005 2.647822e-04 0.000776 0.001524 0.002474 0.003575 0.004901
2025-11-02 NaN 1.799673e-04 0.000677 0.001446 0.002447 0.003623 0.005051
2025-11-09 NaN 1.261976e-04 0.000615 0.001415 0.002477 0.003737 0.005278
2025-11-16 NaN 6.634845e-05 0.000522 0.001332 0.002437 0.003767 0.005407
2025-11-23 NaN 3.783624e-05 0.000480 0.001317 0.002482 0.003897 0.005650
2025-11-30 NaN 2.226041e-05 0.000459 0.001334 0.002567 0.004073 0.005947
2025-12-07 NaN 4.908575e-06 0.000409 0.001298 0.002581 0.004162 0.006141
2025-12-14 NaN 6.206173e-07 0.000397 0.001323 0.002673 0.004346 0.006444
2025-12-21 NaN 8.758854e-09 0.000407 0.001383 0.002812 0.004586 0.006813
2025-12-28 NaN NaN 0.000382 0.001383 0.002869 0.004725 0.007063
2026-01-04 NaN NaN 0.000372 0.001407 0.002958 0.004903 0.007356